Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#222
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#194
Pace64.6#289
Improvement-3.3#311

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#208
First Shot-3.8#286
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#23
Layup/Dunks-4.3#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#266
Freethrows-2.8#327
Improvement-0.1#191

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#241
First Shot-2.9#257
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#117
Layups/Dunks+4.1#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
Freethrows-5.7#352
Improvement-3.2#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 34.0 - 6.04.0 - 13.0
Quad 49.0 - 2.013.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 47   @ TCU L 61-66 7%     0 - 1 +8.2 -4.4 +12.6
  Nov 15, 2018 124   Central Michigan L 55-67 26%     0 - 2 -8.7 -19.8 +11.2
  Nov 17, 2018 342   San Jose St. W 73-72 86%     1 - 2 -13.9 -6.0 -7.9
  Nov 18, 2018 212   Weber St. W 68-67 47%     2 - 2 -1.8 -5.5 +3.8
  Nov 25, 2018 84   @ USC L 75-90 13%     2 - 3 -6.3 +2.7 -8.4
  Dec 01, 2018 226   @ South Dakota L 56-68 40%     2 - 4 -12.8 -12.5 -1.2
  Dec 08, 2018 345   @ Idaho W 73-67 80%     3 - 4 -6.5 -0.3 -5.6
  Dec 13, 2018 224   Lamar W 86-65 61%     4 - 4 +14.7 +5.4 +8.3
  Dec 18, 2018 332   Cal Poly W 74-61 85%     5 - 4 -1.7 -4.3 +3.1
  Dec 20, 2018 275   @ Portland St. W 76-71 52%     6 - 4 +1.1 +0.2 +1.0
  Dec 31, 2018 1   @ Gonzaga L 54-89 1%     6 - 5 -8.5 -8.3 -0.2
  Jan 03, 2019 181   Seattle W 83-71 52%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +8.0 +13.6 -5.1
  Jan 05, 2019 101   Utah Valley W 73-71 30%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +4.0 +10.2 -5.9
  Jan 10, 2019 168   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-69 29%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +8.2 -1.9 +9.4
  Jan 12, 2019 53   @ New Mexico St. L 62-73 8%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +0.8 +1.4 -2.0
  Jan 17, 2019 233   UMKC W 74-73 63%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -5.9 +4.6 -10.3
  Jan 19, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 86-73 95%     11 - 6 5 - 1 -9.5 +0.6 -10.4
  Jan 24, 2019 197   @ California Baptist W 88-84 35%     12 - 6 6 - 1 +4.4 +8.6 -4.3
  Feb 02, 2019 113   Grand Canyon L 59-72 32%     12 - 7 6 - 2 -11.7 -11.8 -0.4
  Feb 07, 2019 53   New Mexico St. L 70-71 OT 18%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +5.2 -1.5 +6.7
  Feb 09, 2019 168   UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-79 OT 50%     12 - 9 6 - 4 -8.4 -5.5 -2.3
  Feb 14, 2019 351   @ Chicago St. W 75-62 89%     13 - 9 7 - 4 -4.0 +2.5 -4.9
  Feb 16, 2019 233   @ UMKC L 67-75 42%     13 - 10 7 - 5 -9.3 +0.8 -11.1
  Feb 23, 2019 197   California Baptist L 58-72 56%     13 - 11 7 - 6 -19.1 -5.0 -17.7
  Mar 02, 2019 113   @ Grand Canyon L 69-73 17%     13 - 12 7 - 7 +2.8 -0.4 +3.2
  Mar 07, 2019 181   @ Seattle L 57-63 OT 31%     13 - 13 7 - 8 -4.4 -14.7 +10.4
  Mar 09, 2019 101   @ Utah Valley L 61-76 15%     13 - 14 7 - 9 -7.4 -0.2 -9.4
  Mar 14, 2019 168   UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-85 39%     13 - 15 -15.6 -2.3 -12.8
Projected Record 13.0 - 15.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%